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S. J. Rundt & Associates, Inc. is a 58-year old consulting and publishing firm dedicated to helping multinational companies, exporters, importers, banks and investors assess risks and opportunities in their international strategies and transactions. We provide essential information, independent judgment and forecasts on global developments in trade & finance, economic and political trends, and government regulations.
Fortune 500 companies, multinational banks, export credit and investment insurers, law firms, accounting firms and government agencies on all continents have come to rely on our impartial analysis and unbiased projection. Our country risk analysis draws on a global network of knowledgeable observers and insiders with whom we have cooperated closely for many years, in some cases since our establishment in 1952.
This
Week Around the World
From Rundt's World
Business Intelligence, Updated Weekly
February 4, 2010
TRENDS
TO KEEP AN EYE ON
Macedonia
- strengthening external accounts; Morocco - the economy has stood up
well; Montenegro -concerns
about the private external debt; Nicaragua
- how to lose popular support and win elections; Peru - the country is well
positioned to gain from the global upturn; Serbia - progress on the EU
application..
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PARAGUAY
President Lugo has been providing
weak and seemingly rudderless governance. the authorities have reacted
well to the economic crisis, however, and conditions have begun to look
up.
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Page 13 |
ARGENTINA
the latest events show that the
regime is determined to turn the Central Bank into something akin to an
appendix of the Executive.
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SLOVAKIA
The government has not been hurt
politically by the country's first-ever recession. But the trend
against the cronyism and authoritarianism that marked Slovakia just
before its EU entry appears to have halted and may even be going into
reverse.
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GREECE
European Union officials have
their doubts about the government's will and/or ability to achieve the
fiscal deficit reduction it says it is committed to. But there is not
much doubt that they would have to agree to an EU bailout if push comes
to shove.
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Page 5 |
THAILAND
Exchange regulations have been eased to
promote capital outflows, in a manner that affects importers as well as
exporters.
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Page 15 |
NEW
ZEALAND
While the economy continuous to
recover, the Reserve Bank is in no rush to hike interest rates. For
now, the business upturn remains weaker than hoped-for, and the risk of
a surge in inflation is minimal.
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VENEZUELA
Clarifying the new exchange rules
somewhat more, the regime has stated what will happen to FX or import
contracts already concluded at the time of the devaluation. The
treatment of divided remittances is still in questions.
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NORWAY
Interest rates are likely to rise
further, while the Finance Ministry worries about phasing out the
fiscal stimulus to take pressure off the crown's exchange market
performance.
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EXCHANGE MARKET TRENDS
FX FORECASTS
STATISTICAL TABLES
Internat'l. interest rates, spot
and Forward exchange rates, EURO, SDR, GOLD |
PAKISTAN
President Asif Ali Zardari has
been weakened and us under growing pressure to cede authority. there
are signs that the economy is starting to stabilize, but it remains
heavily dependent on financial aid from abroad.
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