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S. J. Rundt & Associates, Inc. is a 60-year old consulting and publishing firm dedicated to helping multinational companies, exporters, importers, banks and investors assess risks and opportunities in their international strategies and transactions. We provide essential information, independent judgment and forecasts on global developments in trade & finance, economic and political trends, and government regulations.
Fortune 500 companies, multinational banks, export credit and investment insurers, law firms, accounting firms and government agencies on all continents have come to rely on our impartial analysis and unbiased projection. Our country risk analysis draws on a global network of knowledgeable observers and insiders with whom we have cooperated closely for many years, in some cases since our establishment in 1952.
This
Week Around the World
From Rundt's World
Business Intelligence, Updated Weekly
February 2, 2012
TRENDS
TO KEEP AN EYE ON
Argentina
- criticism from the IMF about doctored statistics; Kuwait - the opposition is gaining
in parliamentary elections; Portugal -
whatever deal Greece can hammer out with its creditors, Lisbon will
want similar treatment.
Page 2
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KAZAKHSTAN
The elections this month were
anything but clean and fare and the new rule they have ushered in is
multi-party only in appearance. The economy may slow somewhat, but
will, overall, continue to grow at a good clip. The banking sector will
remain its weak spot, but no full-fledged crisis is threatening. To
read more, please subscribe.
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CANADA
The economy certainly could do
better, but consumer confidence has been rising, encouraged by the
prospect of a persistence of low interest rated. this could give the
"loonie" good support in the weeks ahead, intermittent slops
notwithstanding. To read more, please subscribe.
Page 3 |
SAUDI
ARABIA
Riyadh has approved another stimulus budget
for 2012, following a year in which spending rose much more sharply
than initially heralded. For now, the Kingdom can afford to be
generous. The stepped-up outlays will not resolve the tension in the
Eastern Province, but they may help to damp them down. to read more,
please subscribe.
Page 14 |
FRANCE
The remarkable response to the
economic plans outlined by the Socialists' presidential candidate,
Pres. Nicolas Sarkozy told the nation that it needs to become more
German in battling its problems and indicated that he would take a leaf
out of former Chancellor Schroeder's book, if reelected. to read more,
please subscribe.
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SENEGAL
This country is headed for a turbulent
election, now that the constitutional court has decided the incumbent
President can run for a third term while one of his most promising
opponents has been excluded. The economy has proven resilient and
should do better this year than last. To read more, please subscribe.
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GREECE
Yet another deadline is
approaching for the negotiations aimed at whittling the country's debt
burden down to manageable proportions, but on some key issues the
principal players are still far apart. there is, thus, still a
considerable risk of failure, leading to a chaotic default of which the
end result could be that Greece is forced out of the euro. to read
more, please subscribe.
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SPAIN
The latest official statistics
suggest that the economy contracted in the final three months of last
year and there is little doubt that it will slip further in the current
quarter. This makes it clear how difficult it will be for government to
make good on its deficit-cutting promises. To read more, please
subscribe.
Page 16 |
JAMAICA
While its predecessor's election
defeat marked the first time that Jamaicans voted out an incumbent
administration after only one term, the new government under PM Portia
Simpson Miller could easily become one to suffer such a fate.
Renegotiating with the IMF program in place since 2010 will be its
first test by fire. To read more, please subscribe.
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EXCHANGE MARKET TRENDS
FX FORECASTS
STATISTICAL TABLES
Internat'l. interest rates, spot
and Forward exchange rates, EURO, SDR, GOLD |
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