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This Week Around the World
From Rundt's World Business Intelligence, Updated Weekly
  March 4, 2010

TRENDS TO KEEP AN EYE ON
Canada - on the brink of higher interest rates? Ukraine -the end of the Timoshenko government; Venezuela - Chavez has discovered a huge new source of money; Vietnam - free-trade negotiations with the European Union.
Page 2
GREECE
The government has had to come up with yet another harsh austerity package to satisfy EU officials on whom the country will depend to get the financial bailout it needs. As we said before in these Briefs, though, in the end the European Union will neither allow Greece to default nor leave the Eurozone.
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Page 13
ARGENTINA
To regain popularity ahead of next year's presidential elections, Pres. Fernandez will require continued spending beyond what the country can afford, and the question now is to what extent she will be able to tap official international monetary reserves for this.
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Page 3
LATVIA
This tiny country has gone through an exceptionally wrenching adjustment that most pundits had brushed off as politically and socially impossible. The authorities succeeded, however, and conditions are now beginning to turn positive.
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Page 14
BRAZIL
The Central Bank has begun to roll back some of the stimulus it had pumped into the economy during the crisis, but we expect it to proceed gradually and with caution as there are still weak spots in the economic recovery. Assurances that there would be no changes in policy if President Lula's chosen successor won the elections cannot be taken at full face value, butt the broad outlines would probably remain the same.
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Page 5
LITHUANIA
The outlook has improved so much that S&P's upgraded the country's rating. The government remains committed to cutting the fiscal deficit in order to get the country ready for Eurozone membership. Remarkably, the tough regimen, to which all political parties appear to be committed, has not hurt the government politically.
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Page 15
CHILE
The country will do far better in coping with the consequences of the earthquake than Haiti. Absurdly, in a way, the disaster may even make it easier for the incoming President to fulfill some of his growth  promises.
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Page 6
RUSSIA
Although official data indicates that the outlook for the current year has improved, Moscow will keep at  least some of the official stimulus in place. there are growing worries about the country's banking sector, as non-performing loans keep rising.
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Page 16
COLOMBIA
The decision disallowing the holding of a referendum asking voters to let him seek a third term in office may have disappointed Pres. Uribe, but it is a plus for the country's democratic credentials. In the fight against Left- and Right-wing militants, much remains to be done.
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Page 8
EXCHANGE MARKET TRENDS
FX FORECASTS
STATISTICAL TABLES

Internat'l. interest rates, spot and Forward exchange rates, EURO, SDR, GOLD

 



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