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S. J. Rundt & Associates, Inc. is a 58-year old consulting and publishing firm dedicated to helping multinational companies, exporters, importers, banks and investors assess risks and opportunities in their international strategies and transactions. We provide essential information, independent judgment and forecasts on global developments in trade & finance, economic and political trends, and government regulations.
Fortune 500 companies, multinational banks, export credit and investment insurers, law firms, accounting firms and government agencies on all continents have come to rely on our impartial analysis and unbiased projection. Our country risk analysis draws on a global network of knowledgeable observers and insiders with whom we have cooperated closely for many years, in some cases since our establishment in 1952.
This
Week Around the World
From Rundt's World
Business Intelligence, Updated Weekly
March 4, 2010
TRENDS
TO KEEP AN EYE ON
Canada
- on the brink of higher interest rates? Ukraine -the end of the Timoshenko
government; Venezuela - Chavez
has discovered a huge new source of money; Vietnam - free-trade negotiations
with the European Union.
Page 2
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GREECE
The government has had to come up
with yet another harsh austerity package to satisfy EU officials on
whom the country will depend to get the financial bailout it needs. As
we said before in these Briefs, though, in the end the European Union
will neither allow Greece to default nor leave the Eurozone.
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Page 13 |
ARGENTINA
To regain popularity ahead of next
year's presidential elections, Pres. Fernandez will require continued
spending beyond what the country can afford, and the question now is to
what extent she will be able to tap official international monetary
reserves for this.
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Page 3 |
LATVIA
This tiny country has gone through an
exceptionally wrenching adjustment that most pundits had brushed off as
politically and socially impossible. The authorities succeeded,
however, and conditions are now beginning to turn positive.
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Page 14 |
BRAZIL
The Central Bank has begun to roll
back some of the stimulus it had pumped into the economy during the
crisis, but we expect it to proceed gradually and with caution as there
are still weak spots in the economic recovery. Assurances that there
would be no changes in policy if President Lula's chosen successor won
the elections cannot be taken at full face value, butt the broad
outlines would probably remain the same.
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Page 5 |
LITHUANIA
The outlook has improved so much that
S&P's upgraded the country's rating. The government remains
committed to cutting the fiscal deficit in order to get the country
ready for Eurozone membership. Remarkably, the tough regimen, to which
all political parties appear to be committed, has not hurt the
government politically.
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Page 15 |
CHILE
The country will do far better in
coping with the consequences of the earthquake than Haiti. Absurdly, in
a way, the disaster may even make it easier for the incoming President
to fulfill some of his growth promises.
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Page 6 |
RUSSIA
Although official data indicates
that the outlook for the current year has improved, Moscow will keep
at least some of the official stimulus in place. there are
growing worries about the country's banking sector, as non-performing
loans keep rising.
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Page 16 |
COLOMBIA
The decision disallowing the
holding of a referendum asking voters to let him seek a third term in
office may have disappointed Pres. Uribe, but it is a plus for the
country's democratic credentials. In the fight against Left- and
Right-wing militants, much remains to be done.
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EXCHANGE
MARKET TRENDS
FX FORECASTS
STATISTICAL TABLES
Internat'l. interest rates, spot
and Forward exchange rates, EURO, SDR, GOLD |
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