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S. J. Rundt & Associates, Inc. is a 58-year old consulting and publishing firm dedicated to helping multinational companies, exporters, importers, banks and investors assess risks and opportunities in their international strategies and transactions. We provide essential information, independent judgment and forecasts on global developments in trade & finance, economic and political trends, and government regulations.
Fortune 500 companies, multinational banks, export credit and investment insurers, law firms, accounting firms and government agencies on all continents have come to rely on our impartial analysis and unbiased projection. Our country risk analysis draws on a global network of knowledgeable observers and insiders with whom we have cooperated closely for many years, in some cases since our establishment in 1952.
This
Week Around the World
From Rundt's World
Business Intelligence, Updated Weekly
September 2, 2010
TRENDS
TO KEEP AN EYE ON
Costa
Rica - efforts to restrain the colon; Slovenia - a long-awaited return to
growth; Sweden - robust
economy and higher interest rates; Switzerland
- high-flying Swiss franc.
Page 2 |
JAPAN
Increasingly desperate to halt the
yen's relentless climb and prevent another economic slump, the
government has talked the CB into a fresh monetary easing and has
announced yet another fiscal stimulus program. Neither will show the
desired effect. Which way the authorities will turn next may depend on
the outcome of the impending DPJ leadership contest.
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Page 13 |
BAHRAIN
Moody's has downgraded the
sovereign debt with reference to an anticipated budget squeeze. Concern
on this front is almost certainly overdone. So is that about a supposed
negative outlook for the banking sector. But the agency has a point in
warning about domestic political tensions ahead of elections next
months.
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Page 3 |
SOUTH AFRICA
Investors have begun to ask serious questions about the country,
startled by proposed restrictions on the news media and a bitter public
sector strike. The governing ANC alliance will not fall apart, but the
coalition that brought President Zuma to power is disintegrating.
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Page 14 |
CHINA
Important for those engaged in
trade with China from a longer-term vista, Beijing is making slow but
steady progress toward internationalizing the yuan. Contrary to some
analysts, we do not expect a "Big Bang" liberalization, but the trend
has become unmistakable.
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Page 5 |
TAIWAN
The economy put in a rather formidable
performance in the second quarter of this year, prompting the
authorities to raise their projections for 2010 as a whole. A slow-down
predicted for the second semester may not materialize.
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Page 15 |
IRAN
There are increasing signs that
the latest sanctions are having more of an effect than earlier ones and
are adding to the country's already considerable economic problems.
This will not deter the regime from pursuing its nuclear arms
ambitions, but it is aggravating the forces that are clawing at the
nation's unity from within.
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Page 6 |
VENEZUELA
Even if President Chavez
does not obtain the majority he wants in the upcoming parliamentary
elections, for which he is pulling every conceivable trick out of his
bag, he will retain a firm grip on the tiller - in fact, his
control of the economy, armed forces, and institutions, including
the judiciary, has never been stronger.
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Page 16 |
IRAQ
Now that the last of the American
"combat" troops have left the country, we will soon find out if the
Iraqi security forces can take over, and whether Iraqi politicians can
meet the democratic responsibilities and opportunities US blood and
treasure have bought them. Many risks persist, also in the economic
arena, where much of the business sectors is still in a dire state.
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Page 8 |
EXCHANGE
MARKET TRENDS
FX FORECASTS
STATISTICAL TABLES
Internat'l. interest rates, spot
and Forward exchange rates, EURO, SDR, GOLD |
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